About The Author

Tai Pruce-Zimmerman is a stay at home dad who has previously worked as an accountant, and is also a chess enthusiast (and aspiring adult improver!). For most of his life he has been obsessed with both statistics and with chess. In recent years, he has spent a lot of time combining these two fascinations, and analyzing chess statistics in a variety of ways. This blog is the result!

You can expect to see lots of analysis of chess prodigies, simulated results of major tournaments, scores, and frequency, of various different openings. And plenty of other concepts as well. If it is a form of chess analytics, it will probably show up here eventually!

One thing you WON’T find here is chess instruction, or much analysis of individual games. There are plenty of other places for you to improve your own chess skills. The focus here is on large sample sizes and broader statistical analysis. So if that sounds intriguing to you, then please follow along!

The author can be contacted by email at chessnumbers@gmail.com

This site is a labor of love, I did all this analysis for myself already before I ever started posting and sharing it, so I’m in no way seeking compensation and just want to make my analysis available to any and all who might appreciate it, but if any readers out there feel compelled to show that appreciation monetarily I would graciously accept donations at https://paypal.me/chessnumbers

13 thoughts on “About The Author

  1. Hi Tai,
    check Jergus Pechac – he has reached 2540 in Apr’15 , born 31/10/01 = ~13,5 years !!
    would be #7 in <14y
    Cheers. Tom

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  2. Many of the USA players’ ages can be given within one month, based on the USCF Top 100 Lists. However, be aware that older lists used a different method (age as of 1st day of previous month) from the current method (age as of 1st day of same month). These are all available online.

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  3. I’ve just discovered your site. The 2015 FIDE World Cup has had me tinkering with a few metrics and thoughts myself. I’ve enjoyed what I’ve seen of your thoughts, concepts and articles. I’m retired and enjoy following tournament chess and professional baseball. This summer has been an entertaining season for both. Like you, I’d categorize myself as a major Patzer at both chess and baseball. Nonetheless, I’m looking forward to seeing more.

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    • Hmm… I wonder what the baseball equivalent of a 1500 rating is. I played in high school, and used to call baseball “my religion”, but haven’t touched a field in a decade. Safe to say I’m a patzer there too at this point. I like that concept! I’m glad you’ve enjoyed the blog!

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  4. I try to use code to see what is all the possible outcome for candidate tournament after round 11 using coding. Below are my code

    https://ideone.com/p00Bmi

    basically, it will show what are the possibility of the first rank and also its point, and what is the number of occurence of the outcome.

    from my code, it can be seen that

    hikaru has 43.2% that he will win or enter tiebreak

    ian has 40.7% that he will win or enter tiebreak

    gukesh has 40.7% that he will win or enter tiebreak

    fabiano has 14.4% that he will win or enter tiebreak

    this is the all possible outcome of winners and its occurence

    hikaru 1593

    ian 1404

    gukesh 1269

    fabiano 270

    ian gukesh 513

    ian hikaru 351

    ian fabiano 27

    hikaru gukesh 324

    hikaru fabiano 162

    gukesh fabiano 162

    ian hikaru gukesh 162

    hikaru gukesh fabiano 108

    ian gukesh fabiano 81

    ian hikaru fabiano 81

    ian hikaru gukesh fabiano 54

    69.1% chance we see a sole winner

    23.4% chance of 2-way tie

    6.5% chance of 3-way tie

    0.8% chance of 4-way tie

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