Tai Pruce-Zimmerman is a stay at home dad who has previously worked as an accountant, and is also a chess enthusiast (and aspiring adult improver!). For most of his life he has been obsessed with both statistics and with chess. In recent years, he has spent a lot of time combining these two fascinations, and analyzing chess statistics in a variety of ways. This blog is the result!
You can expect to see lots of analysis of chess prodigies, simulated results of major tournaments, scores, and frequency, of various different openings. And plenty of other concepts as well. If it is a form of chess analytics, it will probably show up here eventually!
One thing you WON’T find here is chess instruction, or much analysis of individual games. There are plenty of other places for you to improve your own chess skills. The focus here is on large sample sizes and broader statistical analysis. So if that sounds intriguing to you, then please follow along!
The author can be contacted by email at chessnumbers@gmail.com
This site is a labor of love, I did all this analysis for myself already before I ever started posting and sharing it, so I’m in no way seeking compensation and just want to make my analysis available to any and all who might appreciate it, but if any readers out there feel compelled to show that appreciation monetarily I would graciously accept donations at https://paypal.me/chessnumbers
Hi Tai,
check Jergus Pechac – he has reached 2540 in Apr’15 , born 31/10/01 = ~13,5 years !!
would be #7 in <14y
Cheers. Tom
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Many of the USA players’ ages can be given within one month, based on the USCF Top 100 Lists. However, be aware that older lists used a different method (age as of 1st day of previous month) from the current method (age as of 1st day of same month). These are all available online.
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I’ve just discovered your site. The 2015 FIDE World Cup has had me tinkering with a few metrics and thoughts myself. I’ve enjoyed what I’ve seen of your thoughts, concepts and articles. I’m retired and enjoy following tournament chess and professional baseball. This summer has been an entertaining season for both. Like you, I’d categorize myself as a major Patzer at both chess and baseball. Nonetheless, I’m looking forward to seeing more.
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Hmm… I wonder what the baseball equivalent of a 1500 rating is. I played in high school, and used to call baseball “my religion”, but haven’t touched a field in a decade. Safe to say I’m a patzer there too at this point. I like that concept! I’m glad you’ve enjoyed the blog!
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Hey, Tai, There’s a pretty interesting statistical discussion going on at http://www.chessgames.com/perl/chess.pl?tid=86494 about Nakamura’s odds of winning against a given field in blitz; would you care to chime in?
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I will take a look
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[…] analytics mannequin created by accountant/keep at house dad/chess fan and creator of the insightful Chess by the Numbers weblog, Tai Pruce-Zimmerman#. Right here we […]
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Just found this site. I love it!!!!
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Marc Llari , the young french guy, may be a newcomer, birth date 08/01/2014 – 2110 fide
world under 8 champion 2022 / vice europe under 8 champion 2022
https://ratings.fide.com/profile/651044269
see u soon , thks for the job !
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As an American, can I avoid date formatting confusion and confirm: is that Jan 8th or is that August 1st? And do you have a source for that birthday? Thank you!
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this is Jan 8th . thank you !
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source is french playerdatabase (PAPI)
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I try to use code to see what is all the possible outcome for candidate tournament after round 11 using coding. Below are my code
https://ideone.com/p00Bmi
basically, it will show what are the possibility of the first rank and also its point, and what is the number of occurence of the outcome.
from my code, it can be seen that
hikaru has 43.2% that he will win or enter tiebreak
ian has 40.7% that he will win or enter tiebreak
gukesh has 40.7% that he will win or enter tiebreak
fabiano has 14.4% that he will win or enter tiebreak
this is the all possible outcome of winners and its occurence
hikaru 1593
ian 1404
gukesh 1269
fabiano 270
ian gukesh 513
ian hikaru 351
ian fabiano 27
hikaru gukesh 324
hikaru fabiano 162
gukesh fabiano 162
ian hikaru gukesh 162
hikaru gukesh fabiano 108
ian gukesh fabiano 81
ian hikaru fabiano 81
ian hikaru gukesh fabiano 54
69.1% chance we see a sole winner
23.4% chance of 2-way tie
6.5% chance of 3-way tie
0.8% chance of 4-way tie
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